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£§Footnote¡¡r£º¡¡The¡¡population¡¡of¡¡a¡¡country¡¡assuredly¡¡constitutes¡¡the¡¡first¡¡element¡¡of¡¡its¡¡wealth¡£¡¡¡¡In¡¡the¡¡ten¡¡years¡¡£¨1820¡­1830£©¡¡during¡¡which¡¡Virginia¡¡lost¡¡two¡¡of¡¡its¡¡representatives¡¡in¡¡Congress£»¡¡its¡¡population¡¡increased¡¡in¡¡the¡¡proportion¡¡of¡¡13¡£7¡¡per¡¡cent¡££»¡¡that¡¡of¡¡Carolina¡¡in¡¡the¡¡proportion¡¡of¡¡fifteen¡¡per¡¡cent¡££»¡¡and¡¡that¡¡of¡¡Georgia£»¡¡15¡£5¡¡per¡¡cent¡£¡¡¡¡£¨See¡¡the¡¡¡¨American¡¡Almanac£»¡¨¡¡1832£»¡¡p¡£¡¡162£©¡¡But¡¡the¡¡population¡¡of¡¡Russia£»¡¡which¡¡increases¡¡more¡¡rapidly¡¡than¡¡that¡¡of¡¡any¡¡other¡¡European¡¡country£»¡¡only¡¡augments¡¡in¡¡ten¡¡years¡¡at¡¡the¡¡rate¡¡of¡¡9¡£5¡¡per¡¡cent¡££»¡¡in¡¡France£»¡¡at¡¡the¡¡rate¡¡of¡¡seven¡¡per¡¡cent¡££»¡¡and¡¡in¡¡Europe¡¡in¡¡general£»¡¡at¡¡the¡¡rate¡¡of¡¡4¡£7¡¡per¡¡cent¡£¡¡£¨See¡¡¡¨Malte¡¡Brun£»¡¨¡¡vol¡£¡¡vi¡£¡¡p¡£¡¡95£©£§

£§Footnote¡¡s£º¡¡It¡¡must¡¡be¡¡admitted£»¡¡however£»¡¡that¡¡the¡¡depreciation¡¡which¡¡has¡¡taken¡¡place¡¡in¡¡the¡¡value¡¡of¡¡tobacco£»¡¡during¡¡the¡¡last¡¡fifty¡¡years£»¡¡has¡¡notably¡¡diminished¡¡the¡¡opulence¡¡of¡¡the¡¡Southern¡¡planters£º¡¡but¡¡this¡¡circumstance¡¡is¡¡as¡¡independent¡¡of¡¡the¡¡will¡¡of¡¡their¡¡Northern¡¡brethren¡¡as¡¡it¡¡is¡¡of¡¡their¡¡own¡££§

Thus¡¡the¡¡prosperity¡¡of¡¡the¡¡United¡¡States¡¡is¡¡the¡¡source¡¡of¡¡the¡¡most¡¡serious¡¡dangers¡¡that¡¡threaten¡¡them£»¡¡since¡¡it¡¡tends¡¡to¡¡create¡¡in¡¡some¡¡of¡¡the¡¡confederate¡¡States¡¡that¡¡over¡­excitement¡¡which¡¡accompanies¡¡a¡¡rapid¡¡increase¡¡of¡¡fortune£»¡¡and¡¡to¡¡awaken¡¡in¡¡others¡¡those¡¡feelings¡¡of¡¡envy£»¡¡mistrust£»¡¡and¡¡regret¡¡which¡¡usually¡¡attend¡¡upon¡¡the¡¡loss¡¡of¡¡it¡£¡¡¡¡The¡¡Americans¡¡contemplate¡¡this¡¡extraordinary¡¡and¡¡hasty¡¡progress¡¡with¡¡exultation£»¡¡but¡¡they¡¡would¡¡be¡¡wiser¡¡to¡¡consider¡¡it¡¡with¡¡sorrow¡¡and¡¡alarm¡£¡¡The¡¡Americans¡¡of¡¡the¡¡United¡¡States¡¡must¡¡inevitably¡¡become¡¡one¡¡of¡¡the¡¡greatest¡¡nations¡¡in¡¡the¡¡world£»¡¡their¡¡offset¡¡will¡¡cover¡¡almost¡¡the¡¡whole¡¡of¡¡North¡¡America£»¡¡the¡¡continent¡¡which¡¡they¡¡inhabit¡¡is¡¡their¡¡dominion£»¡¡and¡¡it¡¡cannot¡¡escape¡¡them¡£¡¡¡¡What¡¡urges¡¡them¡¡to¡¡take¡¡possession¡¡of¡¡it¡¡so¡¡soon£¿¡¡Riches£»¡¡power£»¡¡and¡¡renown¡¡cannot¡¡fail¡¡to¡¡be¡¡theirs¡¡at¡¡some¡¡future¡¡time£»¡¡but¡¡they¡¡rush¡¡upon¡¡their¡¡fortune¡¡as¡¡if¡¡but¡¡a¡¡moment¡¡remained¡¡for¡¡them¡¡to¡¡make¡¡it¡¡their¡¡own¡£

I¡¡think¡¡that¡¡I¡¡have¡¡demonstrated¡¡that¡¡the¡¡existence¡¡of¡¡the¡¡present¡¡confederation¡¡depends¡¡entirely¡¡on¡¡the¡¡continued¡¡assent¡¡of¡¡all¡¡the¡¡confederates£»¡¡and£»¡¡starting¡¡from¡¡this¡¡principle£»¡¡I¡¡have¡¡inquired¡¡into¡¡the¡¡causes¡¡which¡¡may¡¡induce¡¡the¡¡several¡¡States¡¡to¡¡separate¡¡from¡¡the¡¡others¡£¡¡¡¡The¡¡Union¡¡may£»¡¡however£»¡¡perish¡¡in¡¡two¡¡different¡¡ways£º¡¡one¡¡of¡¡the¡¡confederate¡¡States¡¡may¡¡choose¡¡to¡¡retire¡¡from¡¡the¡¡compact£»¡¡and¡¡so¡¡forcibly¡¡to¡¡sever¡¡the¡¡federal¡¡tie£»¡¡and¡¡it¡¡is¡¡to¡¡this¡¡supposition¡¡that¡¡most¡¡of¡¡the¡¡remarks¡¡that¡¡I¡¡have¡¡made¡¡apply£º¡¡or¡¡the¡¡authority¡¡of¡¡the¡¡Federal¡¡Government¡¡may¡¡be¡¡progressively¡¡entrenched¡¡on¡¡by¡¡the¡¡simultaneous¡¡tendency¡¡of¡¡the¡¡united¡¡republics¡¡to¡¡resume¡¡their¡¡independence¡£¡¡¡¡The¡¡central¡¡power£»¡¡successively¡¡stripped¡¡of¡¡all¡¡its¡¡prerogatives£»¡¡and¡¡reduced¡¡to¡¡impotence¡¡by¡¡tacit¡¡consent£»¡¡would¡¡become¡¡incompetent¡¡to¡¡fulfil¡¡its¡¡purpose£»¡¡and¡¡the¡¡second¡¡Union¡¡would¡¡perish£»¡¡like¡¡the¡¡first£»¡¡by¡¡a¡¡sort¡¡of¡¡senile¡¡inaptitude¡£¡¡¡¡The¡¡gradual¡¡weakening¡¡of¡¡the¡¡federal¡¡tie£»¡¡which¡¡may¡¡finally¡¡lead¡¡to¡¡the¡¡dissolution¡¡of¡¡the¡¡Union£»¡¡is¡¡a¡¡distinct¡¡circumstance£»¡¡that¡¡may¡¡produce¡¡a¡¡variety¡¡of¡¡minor¡¡consequences¡¡before¡¡it¡¡operates¡¡so¡¡violent¡¡a¡¡change¡£¡¡¡¡The¡¡confederation¡¡might¡¡still¡¡subsist£»¡¡although¡¡its¡¡Government¡¡were¡¡reduced¡¡to¡¡such¡¡a¡¡degree¡¡of¡¡inanition¡¡as¡¡to¡¡paralyze¡¡the¡¡nation£»¡¡to¡¡cause¡¡internal¡¡anarchy£»¡¡and¡¡to¡¡check¡¡the¡¡general¡¡prosperity¡¡of¡¡the¡¡country¡£

After¡¡having¡¡investigated¡¡the¡¡causes¡¡which¡¡may¡¡induce¡¡the¡¡Anglo¡­Americans¡¡to¡¡disunite£»¡¡it¡¡is¡¡important¡¡to¡¡inquire¡¡whether£»¡¡if¡¡the¡¡Union¡¡continues¡¡to¡¡subsist£»¡¡their¡¡Government¡¡will¡¡extend¡¡or¡¡contract¡¡its¡¡sphere¡¡of¡¡action£»¡¡and¡¡whether¡¡it¡¡will¡¡become¡¡more¡¡energetic¡¡or¡¡more¡¡weak¡£


The¡¡Americans¡¡are¡¡evidently¡¡disposed¡¡to¡¡look¡¡upon¡¡their¡¡future¡¡condition¡¡with¡¡alarm¡£¡¡¡¡They¡¡perceive¡¡that¡¡in¡¡most¡¡of¡¡the¡¡nations¡¡of¡¡the¡¡world¡¡the¡¡exercise¡¡of¡¡the¡¡rights¡¡of¡¡sovereignty¡¡tends¡¡to¡¡fall¡¡under¡¡the¡¡control¡¡of¡¡a¡¡few¡¡individuals£»¡¡and¡¡they¡¡are¡¡dismayed¡¡by¡¡the¡¡idea¡¡that¡¡such¡¡will¡¡also¡¡be¡¡the¡¡case¡¡in¡¡their¡¡own¡¡country¡£¡¡¡¡Even¡¡the¡¡statesmen¡¡feel£»¡¡or¡¡affect¡¡to¡¡feel£»¡¡these¡¡fears£»¡¡for£»¡¡in¡¡America£»¡¡centralization¡¡is¡¡by¡¡no¡¡means¡¡popular£»¡¡and¡¡there¡¡is¡¡no¡¡surer¡¡means¡¡of¡¡courting¡¡the¡¡majority¡¡than¡¡by¡¡inveighing¡¡against¡¡the¡¡encroachments¡¡of¡¡the¡¡central¡¡power¡£¡¡¡¡The¡¡Americans¡¡do¡¡not¡¡perceive¡¡that¡¡the¡¡countries¡¡in¡¡which¡¡this¡¡alarming¡¡tendency¡¡to¡¡centralization¡¡exists¡¡are¡¡inhabited¡¡by¡¡a¡¡single¡¡people£»¡¡whilst¡¡the¡¡fact¡¡of¡¡the¡¡Union¡¡being¡¡composed¡¡of¡¡different¡¡confederate¡¡communities¡¡is¡¡sufficient¡¡to¡¡baffle¡¡all¡¡the¡¡inferences¡¡which¡¡might¡¡be¡¡drawn¡¡from¡¡analogous¡¡circumstances¡£¡¡¡¡I¡¡confess¡¡that¡¡I¡¡am¡¡inclined¡¡to¡¡consider¡¡the¡¡fears¡¡of¡¡a¡¡great¡¡number¡¡of¡¡Americans¡¡as¡¡purely¡¡imaginary£»¡¡and¡¡far¡¡from¡¡participating¡¡in¡¡their¡¡dread¡¡of¡¡the¡¡consolidation¡¡of¡¡power¡¡in¡¡the¡¡hands¡¡of¡¡the¡¡Union£»¡¡I¡¡think¡¡that¡¡the¡¡Federal¡¡Government¡¡is¡¡visibly¡¡losing¡¡strength¡£

To¡¡prove¡¡this¡¡assertion¡¡I¡¡shall¡¡not¡¡have¡¡recourse¡¡to¡¡any¡¡remote¡¡occurrences£»¡¡but¡¡to¡¡circumstances¡¡which¡¡I¡¡have¡¡myself¡¡witnessed£»¡¡and¡¡which¡¡belong¡¡to¡¡our¡¡own¡¡time¡£

An¡¡attentive¡¡examination¡¡of¡¡what¡¡is¡¡going¡¡on¡¡in¡¡the¡¡United¡¡States¡¡will¡¡easily¡¡convince¡¡us¡¡that¡¡two¡¡opposite¡¡tendencies¡¡exist¡¡in¡¡that¡¡country£»¡¡like¡¡two¡¡distinct¡¡currents¡¡flowing¡¡in¡¡contrary¡¡directions¡¡in¡¡the¡¡same¡¡channel¡£¡¡The¡¡Union¡¡has¡¡now¡¡existed¡¡for¡¡forty¡­five¡¡years£»¡¡and¡¡in¡¡the¡¡course¡¡of¡¡that¡¡time¡¡a¡¡vast¡¡number¡¡of¡¡provincial¡¡prejudices£»¡¡which¡¡were¡¡at¡¡first¡¡hostile¡¡to¡¡its¡¡power£»¡¡have¡¡died¡¡away¡£¡¡¡¡The¡¡patriotic¡¡feeling¡¡which¡¡attached¡¡each¡¡of¡¡the¡¡Americans¡¡to¡¡his¡¡own¡¡native¡¡State¡¡is¡¡become¡¡less¡¡exclusive£»¡¡and¡¡the¡¡different¡¡parts¡¡of¡¡the¡¡Union¡¡have¡¡become¡¡more¡¡intimately¡¡connected¡¡the¡¡better¡¡they¡¡have¡¡become¡¡acquainted¡¡with¡¡each¡¡other¡£¡¡¡¡The¡¡post£»¡¡*t¡¡that¡¡great¡¡instrument¡¡of¡¡intellectual¡¡intercourse£»¡¡now¡¡reaches¡¡into¡¡the¡¡backwoods£»¡¡and¡¡steamboats¡¡have¡¡established¡¡daily¡¡means¡¡of¡¡communication¡¡between¡¡the¡¡different¡¡points¡¡of¡¡the¡¡coast¡£¡¡¡¡An¡¡inland¡¡navigation¡¡of¡¡unexampled¡¡rapidity¡¡conveys¡¡commodities¡¡up¡¡and¡¡down¡¡the¡¡rivers¡¡of¡¡the¡¡country¡£¡¡*u¡¡And¡¡to¡¡these¡¡facilities¡¡of¡¡nature¡¡and¡¡art¡¡may¡¡be¡¡added¡¡those¡¡restless¡¡cravings£»¡¡that¡¡busy¡­mindedness£»¡¡and¡¡love¡¡of¡¡pelf£»¡¡which¡¡are¡¡constantly¡¡urging¡¡the¡¡American¡¡into¡¡active¡¡life£»¡¡and¡¡bringing¡¡him¡¡into¡¡contact¡¡with¡¡his¡¡fellow¡­citizens¡£¡¡¡¡He¡¡crosses¡¡the¡¡country¡¡in¡¡every¡¡direction£»¡¡he¡¡visits¡¡all¡¡the¡¡various¡¡populations¡¡of¡¡the¡¡land£»¡¡and¡¡there¡¡is¡¡not¡¡a¡¡province¡¡in¡¡France¡¡in¡¡which¡¡the¡¡natives¡¡are¡¡so¡¡well¡¡known¡¡to¡¡each¡¡other¡¡as¡¡the¡¡13£»000£»000¡¡of¡¡men¡¡who¡¡cover¡¡the¡¡territory¡¡of¡¡the¡¡United¡¡States¡£

£§Footnote¡¡t£º¡¡In¡¡1832£»¡¡the¡¡district¡¡of¡¡Michigan£»¡¡which¡¡only¡¡contains¡¡31£»639¡¡inhabitants£»¡¡and¡¡is¡¡still¡¡an¡¡almost¡¡unexplored¡¡wilderness£»¡¡possessed¡¡940¡¡miles¡¡of¡¡mail¡­roads¡£¡¡¡¡The¡¡territory¡¡of¡¡Arkansas£»¡¡which¡¡is¡¡still¡¡more¡¡uncultivated£»¡¡was¡¡already¡¡intersected¡¡by¡¡1£»938¡¡miles¡¡of¡¡mail¡­roads¡£¡¡¡¡£¨See¡¡the¡¡report¡¡of¡¡the¡¡General¡¡Post¡¡Office£»¡¡November¡¡30£»¡¡1833¡££©¡¡The¡¡postage¡¡of¡¡newspapers¡¡alone¡¡in¡¡the¡¡whole¡¡Union¡¡amounted¡¡to¡¡254£»796¡££§

£§Footnote¡¡u£º¡¡In¡¡the¡¡course¡¡of¡¡ten¡¡years£»¡¡from¡¡1821¡¡to¡¡1831£»¡¡271¡¡steamboats¡¡have¡¡been¡¡launched¡¡upon¡¡the¡¡rivers¡¡which¡¡water¡¡the¡¡valley¡¡of¡¡the¡¡Mississippi¡¡alone¡£¡¡¡¡In¡¡1829¡¡259¡¡steamboats¡¡existed¡¡in¡¡the¡¡United¡¡States¡£¡¡¡¡£¨See¡¡Legislative¡¡Documents£»¡¡No¡£¡¡140£»¡¡p¡£¡¡¡¡274¡££©£§¡¡

But¡¡whilst¡¡the¡¡Americans¡¡intermingle£»¡¡they¡¡grow¡¡in¡¡resemblance¡¡of¡¡each¡¡other£»¡¡the¡¡differences¡¡resulting¡¡from¡¡their¡¡climate£»¡¡their¡¡origin£»¡¡and¡¡their¡¡institutions£»¡¡diminish£»¡¡and¡¡they¡¡all¡¡draw¡¡nearer¡¡and¡¡nearer¡¡to¡¡the¡¡common¡¡type¡£¡¡¡¡Every¡¡year£»¡¡thousands¡¡of¡¡men¡¡leave¡¡the¡¡North¡¡to¡¡settle¡¡in¡¡different¡¡parts¡¡of¡¡the¡¡Union£º¡¡they¡¡bring¡¡with¡¡them¡¡their¡¡faith£»¡¡their¡¡opinions£»¡¡and¡¡their¡¡manners£»¡¡and¡¡as¡¡they¡¡are¡¡more¡¡enlighthned¡¡than¡¡the¡¡men¡¡amongst¡¡whom¡¡they¡¡are¡¡about¡¡to¡¡dwell£»¡¡they¡¡soon¡¡rise¡¡to¡¡the¡¡head¡¡of¡¡affairs£»¡¡and¡¡they¡¡adapt¡¡society¡¡to¡¡their¡¡own¡¡advantage¡£¡¡¡¡This¡¡continual¡¡emigration¡¡of¡¡the¡¡North¡¡to¡¡the¡¡South¡¡is¡¡peculiarly¡¡favorable¡¡to¡¡the¡¡fusion¡¡of¡¡all¡¡the¡¡different¡¡provincial¡¡characters¡¡into¡¡one¡¡national¡¡character¡£¡¡¡¡The¡¡civilization¡¡of¡¡the¡¡North¡¡appears¡¡to¡¡be¡¡the¡¡common¡¡standard£»¡¡to¡¡which¡¡the¡¡whole¡¡nation¡¡will¡¡one¡¡day¡¡be¡¡assimilated¡£

The¡¡commercial¡¡ties¡¡which¡¡unite¡¡the¡¡confederate¡¡States¡¡are¡¡strengthened¡¡by¡¡the¡¡increasing¡¡manufactures¡¡of¡¡the¡¡Americans£»¡¡and¡¡the¡¡union¡¡which¡¡began¡¡to¡¡exist¡¡in¡¡their¡¡opinions£»¡¡gradually¡¡forms¡¡a¡¡part¡¡of¡¡their¡¡habits£º¡¡the¡¡course¡¡of¡¡time¡¡has¡¡swept¡¡away¡¡the¡¡bugbear¡¡thoughts¡¡which¡¡haunted¡¡the¡¡imaginations¡¡of¡¡the¡¡citizens¡¡in¡¡1789¡£¡¡¡¡The¡¡federal¡¡power¡¡is¡¡not¡¡become¡¡oppressive£»¡¡it¡¡has¡¡not¡¡destroyed¡¡the¡¡independence¡¡of¡¡the¡¡States£»¡¡it¡¡has¡¡not¡¡subjected¡¡the¡¡confederates¡¡to¡¡monarchial¡¡institutions£»¡¡and¡¡the¡¡Union¡¡has¡¡not¡¡rendered¡¡the¡¡lesser¡¡States¡¡dependent¡¡upon¡¡the¡¡larger¡¡ones£»¡¡but¡¡the¡¡confederation¡¡has¡¡continued¡¡to¡¡increase¡¡in¡¡population£»¡¡in¡¡wealth£»¡¡and¡¡in¡¡power¡£¡¡¡¡I¡¡am¡¡therefore¡¡convinced¡¡that¡¡the¡¡natural¡¡obstacles¡¡to¡¡the¡¡continuance¡¡of¡¡the¡¡American¡¡Union¡¡are¡¡not¡¡so¡¡powerful¡¡at¡¡the¡¡present¡¡time¡¡as¡¡they¡¡were¡¡in¡¡1789£»¡¡and¡¡that¡¡the¡¡enemies¡¡of¡¡the¡¡Union¡¡are¡¡not¡¡so¡¡numerous¡£

Nevertheless£»¡¡a¡¡careful¡¡examination¡¡of¡¡the¡¡history¡¡of¡¡the¡¡United¡¡States¡¡for¡¡the¡¡last¡¡forty¡­five¡¡years¡¡will¡¡readily¡¡convince¡¡us¡¡that¡¡the¡¡federal¡¡power¡¡is¡¡declining£»¡¡nor¡¡is¡¡it¡¡difficult¡¡to¡¡explain¡¡the¡¡causes¡¡of¡¡this¡¡phenomenon¡£¡¡*v¡¡When¡¡the¡¡Constitution¡¡of¡¡1789¡¡was¡¡promulgated£»¡¡the¡¡nation¡¡was¡¡a¡¡prey¡¡to¡¡anarchy£»¡¡the¡¡Union£»¡¡which¡¡succeeded¡¡this¡¡confusion£»¡¡excited¡¡much¡¡dread¡¡and¡¡much¡¡animosity£»¡¡but¡¡it¡¡was¡¡warmly¡¡supported¡¡because¡¡it¡¡satisfied¡¡an¡¡imperious¡¡want¡£¡¡¡¡Thus£»¡¡although¡¡it¡¡was¡¡more¡¡attacked¡¡than¡¡it¡¡is¡¡now£»¡¡the¡¡federal¡¡power¡¡soon¡¡reached¡¡the¡¡maximum¡¡of¡¡its¡¡authority£»¡¡as
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